This is more common than you think, velocity variation has little to do with group size, it's barrel harmonics that dictate how tight a group is at 100yrds. Small ES/SD numbers do not influence group size under 500yrds. They influence vertical at longer ranges because bullets hit higher or lower on target, that's all.
Let me educate you, and others on this.
A barrel oscillates in little circles as a bullet travels down it, when it's spraying bullets all over the target, the bullets are exiting the barrel at different points in the oscillation. When groups are tight and consistent, the bullets are exiting the barrel at the same point in the oscillation. It is commonly believed that consistent barrel time, and therefore, velocity, must be the same. I do not agree with this. Before I owned a chronograph, I had several loads that shot exremely tight groups to 300yrds in 3 different cartridges, never thought anything was not quite right with them until I shot them at 800yrds and beyond. They nearly all had extreme vertical at thise distances, except one, that I still use today. When I got my chronograph, I checked all of those loads, and the ones that had vertial had quite wide velocity variance, one was above 150fps, but it still shot tiny little groups. How could barrel time differ so much, but groups be so small?
I still do not know the answer to this, but, there you go.
Cheers.
lightbulb