Have you measured every detail? Case length, bullet length, bullet diameter. Did you also check water capacity of a FIRED case? Every single detail is important. Be sure to set the temperature to match the conditions you are shooting in. Garbage in garbage out. Keep in mind that QL and GRT are predictions only. Could you be using powder that is newer or older than the powder model in QL? Once you make absolutely certain that you have every detail correct and accurate, then you can adjust the Ba factor in the powder model until the predicted velocity matches the measured velocity. Then the powder model is adjusted to YOUR rifle. I recommend reading the QL instructions in detail if you havent already done so. There are a number of setting in there you should learn about.