I get a cow elk every year and sometimes 2. I do not pay to be guided and most are all public land hunts, with a few RFW hunts.
At 18 years old, my uncles best friend lives in Eagle, Co. He is a mountain man. He invited me and my cousin for 9 years to come hunt the mountain that is less than 10 miles away from his house. He put up wall tents and had a very nice elk camp. We had a weeks worth of fun and we hunted most of the time hard, but after 9 years there was only 1 problem. No elk in camp. 2 -3 times, we had a slim chance of shooting at elk over +500 yards a way. We hunted always 3rd season. Sometimes a little snow, sometimes no snow and sometimes a blizzard that dumped 3 feet over night. Still, no elk. On the 10th year, I decided to take up an offer to go get an elk for $400 on private land, so I took up the offer and learned a lot on this one experience. The rancher who was just the worker, went with us and educated us a lot. He said, get this one book and read it. Then get any material you can on elk and research. He said, in the end, do not listen to no one who says they are an elk expert. The next year, I chose a new public area to hunt and got my 1st public land elk. Fast forward to now (20 years later) and with at least 25 elk under my belt, all of them but 1, was because of me and what I learned.
Now, for migration. What I learned is, no one but elk can predict when they will migrate. It does not have to be of the here and now, but for what is coming. Elk know the weather, way before we ever know it. For example, elk will run down to the 1st major highway, which is C-470 and will come into the residential neighborhoods, but in past 8 years, we very seldom seen them do it, when before that, they did every year. This year in Aug and Sept when temps were upper 80's and mid 90's and the elk were coming down like crazy, bulls and cows. Since then, we started off a really hard, snowy, cold winter in Oct. See how the elk could tell it was going to be a really bad winter this year.
It became my time to do my 1st elk hunt of the year and when we get to where we hunt, some locals said the elk came in early and left by the 1000's, in which they normally do in late Nov. and Dec. They said, there are some stragglers and small groups still around, so hunt hard, lol! In the 1st day I had 3 sets of groups ask me, why are you hunting where I was hunting. 1 person said aloud, well this guy surely will not get an elk, lol! Day 2, me and my boy got our 1st elk and 2 of those groups came a running. Day 3, we stayed for our friend to get an elk and sure enough all 3 groups were mimicking what we did to get ours, again lol! Only problem was, they only did about an hour and then they would move. Day 4, I re-evaluated the competition on the mountain and sent friend to other side of same mountain in which he got his. Day 5 (last day of hunt) we went home. We came back 2 days after Thanksgiving for my 2nd tag, next season. Hunters told us, it didn't look good, because DOW told them only 2 elk came off the mountain last week, lol, it was us. On that last trip my son could not go and I had 3 other friends going on that hunt, it was the very last day of our hunt, when I got my 2nd one and the other 3 in our party got theirs. Yes, we accidentally all set ourselves in the same revine, in which the last morning, a small herd decided to travel up it and it was all over with in 5 min. In the end, I do not listen to others and will only listen to what I learned, which has surely worked.... In the end it is true. when you are not getting elk, it's because you are where the elk are not. When and if you move to where they were, they will not be there, as they will be in your original spot, pooping in your boot prints (seen this several time in the past 20 years, lol). It helps to become an elk whisperer, lol!