Originally Posted by Hornporn
I'm GREAT at math, in fact I'm an architect that went to Cornell University and I still apply. I think that you statement is completely ignorant. Life is full of uncertainties...but if you don't leave the house you will miss out on many expieriences.
Not trying to me rude back to you at all.
One fact, if you don't apply, you will most certainly never draw. I got my sheep tags the old fashion way (bought them)
ALL sheep tags are hard to draw. However if you bow hunt Colorado is an excellent choice. NM and Idaho are also the best odds because there are no point systems.
NM gave out 2 NR ram sheep tags this year in the 10% guided pool and the "rounding" process used to allocate those 2 tags is being challenged. There could be ZERO ram sheep tags for a NR next year. If you didn't apply to one of those 2 hunts, you had ZERO chance at a tag. Just how is that "the best odds?
In AZ, without the data showing how many of the NR tags are drawn in the Bonus pass, and the hunt codes, you have no idea if a NR tag is even available to a NR without being in the max pool. How is applying with ZERO chance at a tag a good plan?
The OP will likely never be in a max pool for a sheep tag, leaving his draw prospects to the random draws. He would do well to learn the different draw methods, where he has a chance, and those where he has zero chance.